Insights from Dataclysm: What Dating App Data Reveals About Attraction and Dating
Christian Rudder's Dataclysm analyzes millions of data points from OkCupid to reveal patterns in how we actually behave when dating, as opposed to how we think we behave. At scale, individual choices form patterns that tell us something about human attraction more broadly.
1/12/20264 min read


Why Being Polarizing Beats Being Pleasant
The data reveals something unexpected about attractiveness ratings. Women who receive mixed ratings are more successful on dating apps than women who everyone agrees are moderately attractive.
Take a group of women all averaging a 7/10 attractiveness rating. The ones with higher variance in their scores, meaning some people rate them a 10 and others rate them a 4, receive significantly more messages than those who consistently get 7s across the board.
The math is simple. If you're polarizing, you have both haters and people who think you're exceptional. Those exceptional ratings translate to genuine interest and actual messages on dating apps. Meanwhile, being universally acceptable means not as many people feel strongly enough to reach out.
This applies to anything distinctive: tattoos, unconventional style, niche interests. The same traits that turn some people off are precisely what make others pay attention.
The Gatekeeper Effect of Physical Attraction
OkCupid once ran an experiment where they removed all profile pictures for 24 hours, essentially creating blind dates. People who met in person during this period reported the same level of satisfaction with their dates as people who'd seen photos first. Physical attraction, it turns out, doesn't predict much about whether you'll actually enjoy being with someone.
But there's a catch. While looks don't determine first date satisfaction, they absolutely determine who gets a chance in the first place. Women's response rates to men on dating apps are heavily dependent on attractiveness ratings. Beauty functions as a gatekeeper, even if it's a poor predictor of what happens after the gate opens.
Age, Attraction, and Self-Deception
Women's attraction patterns follow a logical arc: they're generally attracted to men close to their own age, roughly plus or minus roughly three years before they are 40. As women age, their preferences age with them.
Men show a different pattern. Regardless of their own age, whether they're 25 or 55, men consistently rate women in their early twenties as most attractive. This holds across the data set.
However, most men don't act on this preference completely. Their stated preferences and age filters on apps are often reasonable. But the underlying pattern still shows up in their behavior: within whatever range they set, they disproportionately message the younger women. A guy might say he's open to dating women 35-45, but his actual messaging behavior reveals he's spending most of his time on the 35-year-olds.
This gap between stated and revealed preferences shows up repeatedly in dating data. What we say we want and what we actually pursue tell different stories.
Geography and Desire
People in conservative, sparsely populated areas like the Dakotas show higher rates of explicitly sexual interests on dating apps compared to urban areas. This seems contradictory at first, wouldn't conservative areas mean more conservative behavior?
The explanation is practical rather than ideological. In areas with low population density and geographic isolation, people turn to apps for needs they literally can't meet in person. It's not about being sexually liberated; it's about having limited local options.
This reveals something interesting about how the environment shapes dating behavior. In cities, you can meet people organically: at bars, through friends, at events. The app becomes one option among many. In rural areas, the app might be your only option, which changes how you use it and what you're willing to pursue through it.
Homophily in Dating
The data consistently shows that people prefer their own race when dating. This pattern holds across races and platforms. It's not necessarily conscious prejudice, it's likely some combination of familiarity, shared cultural reference points, and socialized beauty standards. But the effect is real and measurable, creating tangible inequities in who gets attention and opportunities.
How Relationship Networks Shape Outcomes
Once people are actually in relationships, what predicts whether they'll last? One unexpected factor is social network structure.
Couples who maintain somewhat separate friend groups, where each person has their own social world alongside mutual friends, are more resilient than couples whose social circles completely overlap. The "assimilated" pairs, where everything is shared, are more vulnerable to breakup.
The data suggests that maintaining distinct connections strengthens relationships rather than weakening them. Having your own people means bringing different perspectives and experiences into the relationship, rather than collapsing two lives into one merged entity.
The Beauty Premium
Attractiveness affects nearly everything: messages received on dating apps, number of Facebook friends, job interview outcomes, even jury verdicts. The "what is beautiful is good" bias shows up across contexts.
The effect hits women harder than men. Women are evaluated on attractiveness even in completely non-romantic contexts: professional settings, casual interactions, everywhere. While good-looking people of all genders benefit, the impact on women's overall success is measurably stronger.
What This Actually Means
These patterns don't determine individual behavior, but they do reveal aggregate tendencies we might not want to admit to. We're influenced by factors we claim don't matter. We pursue what we say we don't prioritize. Our revealed preferences often contradict our stated values.
There's some practical insight here though. Such as, if you're conventionally average-looking, leaning into distinctive traits might serve you better than trying to appeal to everyone. If you're building a relationship, you probably don't need to merge every aspect of your lives. And if you're examining your own patterns, it's worth asking whether your actual behavior matches what you think you're doing.
The data doesn't prescribe how to date or who to love. It just shows what actually happens when millions of people make choices they think are purely personal. These patterns tell us something about how attraction works as a social phenomenon, not just a personal experience.
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LinkedIn: caroline-rennier
Email: caroline@rennier.com